Thursday, August 19

Uniter, Not a Divider Part III

by justmy2 @ 8/19/2004 01:31:00 AM

Nick Confessore demostrates the President's shrinking constituency

[Other commentators] had exactly the same reaction I did to yesterday's release of poll data on the Jewish vote; to wit, that Karl Rove's plan to slice off segments of the Democratic vote didn't seem to be working too well. Marshall throws some additional wood on the fire. According to this poll, John Kerry leads George W. Bush 70 to 30 among Hispanic voters nationally, which if I'm not mistaken is about 5 points less than Bush got in 2004. (Note that if the GOP can't move those numbers over the long term, they're screwed as a national political party. Of course the numbers will move, but it must be disquieting that even Bush, a Republican who made such an effort to connect personally and culturally with Hispanics, is having this problem.) Meanwhile, Bush is doing dismally among Muslim voters -- even worse than among black voters -- who supported him in considerable numbers in 2000 and who conservative strategists like Grover Norquist had hoped to bring into the GOP coalition on the basis of Muslims cultural conservatism.


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